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Ultra UST 10Y (CBOT)

Ultra 10-Year positioning

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Price series: Ultra 10Y futures (front month) · positions as of Tuesday Nov 3, 2026, published Friday Nov 6, 2026

Last weekly close · Ultra 10Y futures (front month)
108.95
Asset managers net position (contracts)
715,229

This week · published Nov 6, 2026

Ultra 10-Year, week of Nov 3, 2026: Leveraged funds sit at the 48th percentile of their 3-year range. They added 156 net long contracts on the week. 8-week signal: no signal.

OverviewCOT IndexGap IndexThis weekSignal log

Signal log — Asset managers

Every past signal in this market, and what price did afterwards.

Every rolling 8-week window classified as a bullish or bearish divergence, or as convergence where price and positioning agree. Price change is in percent; net change is in contracts.

Each row covers one stretch of weekly reports: the % is the price change over that stretch, the net figure is the change in the group's net position, in contracts.

  • Bullish divergenceMay 26, 2026 → Oct 13, 2026price -5.1% · net position +201,398 contracts
  • Convergence — healthy downtrendMar 17, 2026 → Jun 9, 2026price -0.9% · net position -70,882 contracts
  • Bullish divergenceJan 27, 2026 → Apr 21, 2026price -0.5% · net position -27,158 contracts
  • Bearish divergenceDec 30, 2025 → Feb 24, 2026price +1.9% · net position -94,790 contracts
  • Bullish divergenceNov 25, 2025 → Jan 20, 2026price -1.9% · net position +57,288 contracts
  • Bearish divergenceJul 8, 2025 → Oct 14, 2025price +3.4% · net position -184,742 contracts
  • Convergence — healthy uptrendJun 3, 2025 → Jul 29, 2025price +2.2% · net position +75,967 contracts
  • Bullish divergenceMar 25, 2025 → May 27, 2025price -1.2% · net position +113,699 contracts
  • Bearish divergenceDec 24, 2024 → Apr 1, 2025price +5.0% · net position -92,941 contracts
  • Convergence — healthy downtrendDec 3, 2024 → Jan 28, 2025price -3.0% · net position -42,167 contracts
  • Bullish divergenceAug 27, 2024 → Jan 21, 2025price -5.4% · net position +335,329 contracts
  • Bearish divergenceJul 2, 2024 → Sep 17, 2024price +4.3% · net position -78,711 contracts

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Source: CFTC Commitments of Traders — positions as of Tuesday, published the following Friday. All position figures are futures contracts unless the % of open interest view is selected. Positioning is a sentiment tool, not a timing signal. Not investment advice.