UST bond (CBOT)
30-Year Treasury Bond positioning
Price series: T-bond futures (front month) · positions as of Tuesday Nov 3, 2026, published Friday Nov 6, 2026
This week · published Nov 6, 2026
30-Year Treasury Bond, week of Nov 3, 2026: Leveraged funds sit at the 96th percentile of their 3-year range — near the most bullish of the past 3 years. They cut 15,864 net long contracts on the week. 8-week signal: no signal.
Signal log — Asset managers
Every past signal in this market, and what price did afterwards.
Every rolling 8-week window classified as a bullish or bearish divergence, or as convergence where price and positioning agree. Price change is in percent; net change is in contracts.
Each row covers one stretch of weekly reports: the % is the price change over that stretch, the net figure is the change in the group's net position, in contracts.
- Convergence — healthy downtrendJul 21, 2026 → Oct 20, 2026price -2.3% · net position -170,529 contracts
- Bullish divergenceMay 26, 2026 → Sep 1, 2026price -3.1% · net position +73,870 contracts
- Bullish divergenceMar 17, 2026 → May 12, 2026price -2.4% · net position +27,405 contracts
- Convergence — healthy downtrendJan 20, 2026 → Apr 28, 2026price -2.0% · net position -101,807 contracts
- Bearish divergenceDec 16, 2025 → Feb 24, 2026price +2.5% · net position -38,191 contracts
- Bullish divergenceOct 14, 2025 → Jan 20, 2026price -2.6% · net position +42,677 contracts
- Convergence — healthy downtrendOct 7, 2025 → Dec 2, 2025price -1.6% · net position -10,481 contracts
- Bearish divergenceAug 12, 2025 → Oct 21, 2025price +4.0% · net position -59,551 contracts
- Convergence — healthy uptrendJul 8, 2025 → Sep 9, 2025price +4.4% · net position +3,360 contracts
- Bearish divergenceJun 3, 2025 → Jul 29, 2025price +2.7% · net position -56,167 contracts
- Convergence — healthy downtrendApr 22, 2025 → Jun 17, 2025price -1.8% · net position -107,469 contracts
- Bullish divergenceFeb 25, 2025 → May 20, 2025price -5.6% · net position +47,375 contracts
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Source: CFTC Commitments of Traders — positions as of Tuesday, published the following Friday. All position figures are futures contracts unless the % of open interest view is selected. Positioning is a sentiment tool, not a timing signal. Not investment advice.