UST 5Y note (CBOT)
5-Year Treasury positioning
Price series: 5Y note futures (front month) · positions as of Tuesday Nov 3, 2026, published Friday Nov 6, 2026
This week · published Nov 6, 2026
5-Year Treasury, week of Nov 3, 2026: Leveraged funds sit at the 73rd percentile of their 3-year range. They cut 237,656 net long contracts on the week. 8-week signal: no signal.
Signal log — Asset managers
Every past signal in this market, and what price did afterwards.
Every rolling 8-week window classified as a bullish or bearish divergence, or as convergence where price and positioning agree. Price change is in percent; net change is in contracts.
Each row covers one stretch of weekly reports: the % is the price change over that stretch, the net figure is the change in the group's net position, in contracts.
- Convergence — healthy downtrendJul 28, 2026 → Sep 29, 2026price -2.4% · net position -44,570 contracts
- Convergence — healthy downtrendFeb 24, 2026 → Apr 21, 2026price -1.6% · net position -579,458 contracts
- Convergence — healthy uptrendJan 7, 2025 → Mar 18, 2025price +2.3% · net position +101,071 contracts
- Bullish divergenceSep 17, 2024 → Nov 19, 2024price -3.1% · net position +149,548 contracts
- Convergence — healthy uptrendApr 23, 2024 → Sep 17, 2024price +4.8% · net position +664,921 contracts
- Bullish divergenceFeb 27, 2024 → May 21, 2024price -1.4% · net position +827,584 contracts
- Convergence — healthy downtrendDec 19, 2023 → Feb 20, 2024price -1.6% · net position -327,805 contracts
- Convergence — healthy uptrendNov 21, 2023 → Jan 16, 2024price +2.0% · net position +71,603 contracts
More in Rates
Source: CFTC Commitments of Traders — positions as of Tuesday, published the following Friday. All position figures are futures contracts unless the % of open interest view is selected. Positioning is a sentiment tool, not a timing signal. Not investment advice.