Wheat SRW (CBOT)
Wheat (Chicago SRW) positioning
Price series: Wheat futures (front month) · positions as of Tuesday Jul 28, 2026, published Friday Jul 31, 2026
Price and positioning are rising together: the trend is well supported.
price +10.2% · managed money net position +46,477 (contracts, over 8 weekly reports)
Price vs positioning (contracts)
Price on top, and what the big traders were holding underneath it.
COT Index
0–100 · vs last 3 yearsHow extreme today's positioning is compared with this group's own history.
Each group's current net position, rescaled 0–100 against its own high and low over the selected lookback. 0 = most bearish it has been in that window, 100 = most bullish. Unitless by design, so markets of very different sizes can be compared.
Near the most bullish this group has been in the window.
Near the most bearish this group has been in the window.
Near the most bullish this group has been in the window.
Near the most bearish this group has been in the window.
Middle of its own historical range — nothing stretched.
COT Index = ((Current − Min) / (Max − Min)) × 100, over the last 3 years
Gap & Gap Index
contracts · index 0–100How far apart two trader groups are right now.
Gap = group A's net position minus group B's, measured in contracts. The Gap Index rescales that difference 0–100 against its own last 3 years: 0 = the two groups as close together as they get, 100 = as far apart as they get.
Historically extreme disagreement between the two groups.
Left axis: gap in contracts (positive = Managed money is more net long than Producers / merchants). Right axis: gap index, 0–100. Gap tracks Managed money − Producers / merchants.
Latest week by category
What each trader group was holding in the most recent report.
Positions as of Tuesday Jul 28, 2026, published Friday Jul 31, 2026, compared with the prior weekly report. Positive net = net long; negative net = net short. COT index is measured over the last 3 years.
| Category | Long (contracts) | Short (contracts) | Net (contracts) | Weekly change (contracts) | COT index (0–100, 3y) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Non-commercial (large specs) | 119,046 | 121,038 | -1,992 | +5,017 | 98 |
| Commercial (hedgers) | 173,966 | 169,507 | 4,459 | -7,728 | 6 |
| Managed money | 85,168 | 93,331 | -8,163 | +10,236 | 85 |
| Producers / merchants | 65,697 | 128,258 | -62,561 | -7,735 | 14 |
| Swap dealers | 82,515 | 15,495 | 67,020 | +7 | 57 |
Signal log — Managed money
Every past signal in this market, and what price did afterwards.
Every rolling 8-week window classified as a bullish or bearish divergence, or as convergence where price and positioning agree. Price change is in percent; net change is in contracts.
Each row covers one stretch of weekly reports: the % is the price change over that stretch, the net figure is the change in the group's net position, in contracts.
- Convergence — healthy uptrendJun 2, 2026 → Jul 28, 2026price +10.2% · net position +46,477 contracts
- Bearish divergenceMay 19, 2026 → Jul 14, 2026price +5.6% · net position -31,798 contracts
- Convergence — healthy downtrendApr 28, 2026 → Jun 30, 2026price -5.4% · net position -79,286 contracts
- Bearish divergenceMar 17, 2026 → Jun 2, 2026price -2.6% · net position -42,766 contracts
- Bullish divergenceMar 10, 2026 → May 5, 2026price -1.8% · net position +12,213 contracts
- Convergence — healthy uptrendDec 23, 2025 → Apr 28, 2026price +20.3% · net position +109,899 contracts
- Bearish divergenceDec 16, 2025 → Feb 10, 2026price +7.7% · net position -13,753 contracts
- Convergence — healthy downtrendOct 28, 2025 → Jan 13, 2026price -3.0% · net position -34,916 contracts
- Convergence — healthy uptrendSep 2, 2025 → Dec 9, 2025price +6.7% · net position +34,241 contracts
- Convergence — healthy downtrendJun 17, 2025 → Sep 16, 2025price -8.0% · net position -11,543 contracts
- Bullish divergenceJun 3, 2025 → Aug 5, 2025price -7.3% · net position +11,586 contracts
- Convergence — healthy uptrendApr 22, 2025 → Jul 8, 2025price +2.0% · net position +24,268 contracts
Source: CFTC Commitments of Traders — positions as of Tuesday, published the following Friday. All position figures are futures contracts unless the % of open interest view is selected. Positioning is a sentiment tool, not a timing signal. Not investment advice.