LiveSource · CFTC Commitments of Traders

Wheat SRW (CBOT)

Wheat (Chicago SRW) positioning

Price series: Wheat futures (front month) · positions as of Tuesday Jul 28, 2026, published Friday Jul 31, 2026

Last weekly close · Wheat futures (front month)
639.25
Managed money net position (contracts)
-8,163
Convergence — healthy uptrendJun 2, 2026Jul 28, 2026 · 8-week windowconfirmed by 2 categories

Price and positioning are rising together: the trend is well supported.

price +10.2% · managed money net position +46,477 (contracts, over 8 weekly reports)

Price vs positioning (contracts)

Price on top, and what the big traders were holding underneath it.

Price — Wheat futures (front month)
Net position (contracts) — Net position = long contracts minus short contracts. Above the zero line = net long.
Signal classification tracks bullish divergencebearish divergenceconvergence (healthy trend)

COT Index

0–100 · vs last 3 years

How extreme today's positioning is compared with this group's own history.

Each group's current net position, rescaled 0–100 against its own high and low over the selected lookback. 0 = most bearish it has been in that window, 100 = most bullish. Unitless by design, so markets of very different sizes can be compared.

Non-commercial (large specs)98 · stretched long

Near the most bullish this group has been in the window.

Commercial (hedgers)6 · stretched short

Near the most bearish this group has been in the window.

Managed money85 · stretched long

Near the most bullish this group has been in the window.

Producers / merchants14 · stretched short

Near the most bearish this group has been in the window.

Swap dealers57 · neutral

Middle of its own historical range — nothing stretched.

0 · most bearish50 · mid-range100 · most bullish

COT Index = ((Current − Min) / (Max − Min)) × 100, over the last 3 years

Managed money — COT index history (0–100, rolling 3 years window)

Gap & Gap Index

contracts · index 0–100
vs

How far apart two trader groups are right now.

Gap = group A's net position minus group B's, measured in contracts. The Gap Index rescales that difference 0–100 against its own last 3 years: 0 = the two groups as close together as they get, 100 = as far apart as they get.

Gap Index · vs last 3 years
88

Historically extreme disagreement between the two groups.

Current gap (contracts)
+54,398 contracts

Left axis: gap in contracts (positive = Managed money is more net long than Producers / merchants). Right axis: gap index, 0–100. Gap tracks Managed moneyProducers / merchants.

Latest week by category

What each trader group was holding in the most recent report.

Positions as of Tuesday Jul 28, 2026, published Friday Jul 31, 2026, compared with the prior weekly report. Positive net = net long; negative net = net short. COT index is measured over the last 3 years.

CategoryLong (contracts)Short (contracts)Net (contracts)Weekly change (contracts)COT index (0–100, 3y)
Non-commercial (large specs)119,046121,038-1,992+5,01798
Commercial (hedgers)173,966169,5074,459-7,7286
Managed money85,16893,331-8,163+10,23685
Producers / merchants65,697128,258-62,561-7,73514
Swap dealers82,51515,49567,020+757

Signal log — Managed money

Every past signal in this market, and what price did afterwards.

Every rolling 8-week window classified as a bullish or bearish divergence, or as convergence where price and positioning agree. Price change is in percent; net change is in contracts.

Each row covers one stretch of weekly reports: the % is the price change over that stretch, the net figure is the change in the group's net position, in contracts.

  • Convergence — healthy uptrendJun 2, 2026Jul 28, 2026price +10.2% · net position +46,477 contracts
  • Bearish divergenceMay 19, 2026Jul 14, 2026price +5.6% · net position -31,798 contracts
  • Convergence — healthy downtrendApr 28, 2026Jun 30, 2026price -5.4% · net position -79,286 contracts
  • Bearish divergenceMar 17, 2026Jun 2, 2026price -2.6% · net position -42,766 contracts
  • Bullish divergenceMar 10, 2026May 5, 2026price -1.8% · net position +12,213 contracts
  • Convergence — healthy uptrendDec 23, 2025Apr 28, 2026price +20.3% · net position +109,899 contracts
  • Bearish divergenceDec 16, 2025Feb 10, 2026price +7.7% · net position -13,753 contracts
  • Convergence — healthy downtrendOct 28, 2025Jan 13, 2026price -3.0% · net position -34,916 contracts
  • Convergence — healthy uptrendSep 2, 2025Dec 9, 2025price +6.7% · net position +34,241 contracts
  • Convergence — healthy downtrendJun 17, 2025Sep 16, 2025price -8.0% · net position -11,543 contracts
  • Bullish divergenceJun 3, 2025Aug 5, 2025price -7.3% · net position +11,586 contracts
  • Convergence — healthy uptrendApr 22, 2025Jul 8, 2025price +2.0% · net position +24,268 contracts

Source: CFTC Commitments of Traders — positions as of Tuesday, published the following Friday. All position figures are futures contracts unless the % of open interest view is selected. Positioning is a sentiment tool, not a timing signal. Not investment advice.