VIX futures (CFE)
VIX positioning
Price series: CBOE Volatility Index · positions as of Tuesday Sep 15, 2026, published Friday Sep 18, 2026
VIX is a volatility index, so a long position is a bet on falling equities. Read the signal in the opposite direction to the stock indices.
Price and positioning are falling together: the downtrend is well supported.
price -16.9% · asset managers net position -11,119 (contracts, over 8 weekly reports)
Price vs positioning (contracts)
Price on top, and what the big traders were holding underneath it.
COT Index
0–100 · vs last 3 yearsHow extreme today's positioning is compared with this group's own history.
Each group's current net position, rescaled 0–100 against its own high and low over the selected lookback. 0 = most bearish it has been in that window, 100 = most bullish. Unitless by design, so markets of very different sizes can be compared.
Leaning short, but not yet at an extreme.
Near the most bullish this group has been in the window.
Near the most bearish this group has been in the window.
Leaning long, but not yet at an extreme.
COT Index = ((Current − Min) / (Max − Min)) × 100, over the last 3 years
Method credit: the 0–100 normalization goes back to Larry Williams' COT work in the 1980s and was developed and popularized by Stephen Briese, author of The Commitments of Traders Bible.
Disagreement Index
contracts · index 0–100How far apart two trader groups are right now.
Gap = group A's net position minus group B's, measured in contracts. The Disagreement Index rescales that difference 0–100 against its own last 3 years: 0 = the two groups as close together as they get, 100 = as far apart as they get.
The two groups are pulling apart, above their usual range.
Left axis: gap in contracts (positive = Leveraged funds is more net long than Asset managers). Right axis: disagreement index, 0–100. Gap tracks Leveraged funds − Asset managers.
Latest week by category
What each trader group was holding in the most recent report.
Positions as of Tuesday Sep 15, 2026, published Friday Sep 18, 2026, compared with the prior weekly report. Positive net = net long; negative net = net short. COT index is measured over the last 3 years.
| Category | Long (contracts) | Short (contracts) | Net (contracts) | Weekly change (contracts) | COT index (0–100, 3y) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Non-commercial (large specs) | 93,750 | 180,335 | -86,585 | +8,244 | 26 |
| Commercial (hedgers) | 234,782 | 152,791 | 81,991 | -8,209 | 80 |
| Asset managers | 50,344 | 103,002 | -52,658 | -15,245 | 11 |
| Leveraged funds | 90,002 | 106,506 | -16,504 | +6,766 | 77 |
Signal log — Asset managers
Every past signal in this market, and what price did afterwards.
Every rolling 8-week window classified as a bullish or bearish divergence, or as convergence where price and positioning agree. Price change is in percent; net change is in contracts.
Each row covers one stretch of weekly reports: the % is the price change over that stretch, the net figure is the change in the group's net position, in contracts.
- Convergence — healthy downtrendJul 21, 2026 → Sep 15, 2026price -16.9% · net position -11,119 contracts
- Bullish divergenceJun 16, 2026 → Sep 8, 2026price -3.4% · net position -7,106 contracts
- Convergence — healthy downtrendJun 2, 2026 → Aug 4, 2026price -30.7% · net position -21,184 contracts
- Bearish divergenceMay 19, 2026 → Jul 21, 2026price +11.3% · net position -39,652 contracts
- Convergence — healthy downtrendMay 5, 2026 → Jul 7, 2026price -12.6% · net position -28,789 contracts
- Bearish divergenceApr 28, 2026 → Jun 23, 2026price +8.4% · net position -18,840 contracts
- Convergence — healthy downtrendApr 21, 2026 → Jun 16, 2026price -12.3% · net position -29,109 contracts
- Bearish divergenceApr 7, 2026 → Jun 2, 2026price +11.9% · net position -28,086 contracts
- Convergence — healthy downtrendMar 10, 2026 → May 26, 2026price -43.7% · net position -9,794 contracts
- Bullish divergenceFeb 10, 2026 → Apr 28, 2026price -17.5% · net position +23,844 contracts
- Convergence — healthy uptrendDec 30, 2025 → Mar 31, 2026price +64.5% · net position +47,977 contracts
- Bearish divergenceDec 2, 2025 → Feb 10, 2026price +33.7% · net position -34,496 contracts
Source: CFTC Commitments of Traders — positions as of Tuesday, published the following Friday. All position figures are futures contracts unless the % of open interest view is selected. Positioning is a sentiment tool, not a timing signal. Not investment advice.