LiveSource · CFTC Commitments of Traders

VIX futures (CFE)

VIX positioning

Price series: CBOE Volatility Index · positions as of Tuesday Sep 15, 2026, published Friday Sep 18, 2026

Last weekly close · CBOE Volatility Index
15.44
Asset managers net position (contracts)
-52,658

VIX is a volatility index, so a long position is a bet on falling equities. Read the signal in the opposite direction to the stock indices.

Convergence — healthy downtrendJul 21, 2026Sep 15, 2026 · 8-week windowconfirmed by 3 categories

Price and positioning are falling together: the downtrend is well supported.

price -16.9% · asset managers net position -11,119 (contracts, over 8 weekly reports)

Price vs positioning (contracts)

Price on top, and what the big traders were holding underneath it.

Price — CBOE Volatility Index
Net position (contracts) — Net position = long contracts minus short contracts. Above the zero line = net long.
Signal classification tracks bullish divergencebearish divergenceconvergence (healthy trend)

COT Index

0–100 · vs last 3 years

How extreme today's positioning is compared with this group's own history.

Each group's current net position, rescaled 0–100 against its own high and low over the selected lookback. 0 = most bearish it has been in that window, 100 = most bullish. Unitless by design, so markets of very different sizes can be compared.

Non-commercial (large specs)26 · neutral

Leaning short, but not yet at an extreme.

Commercial (hedgers)80 · stretched long

Near the most bullish this group has been in the window.

Asset managers11 · stretched short

Near the most bearish this group has been in the window.

Leveraged funds77 · neutral

Leaning long, but not yet at an extreme.

0 · most bearish50 · mid-range100 · most bullish

COT Index = ((Current − Min) / (Max − Min)) × 100, over the last 3 years

Method credit: the 0–100 normalization goes back to Larry Williams' COT work in the 1980s and was developed and popularized by Stephen Briese, author of The Commitments of Traders Bible.

Asset managers — COT index history (0–100, rolling 3 years window)

Disagreement Index

contracts · index 0–100
vs

How far apart two trader groups are right now.

Gap = group A's net position minus group B's, measured in contracts. The Disagreement Index rescales that difference 0–100 against its own last 3 years: 0 = the two groups as close together as they get, 100 = as far apart as they get.

Disagreement Index · vs last 3 years
82

The two groups are pulling apart, above their usual range.

Current gap (contracts)
+36,154 contracts

Left axis: gap in contracts (positive = Leveraged funds is more net long than Asset managers). Right axis: disagreement index, 0–100. Gap tracks Leveraged fundsAsset managers.

Latest week by category

What each trader group was holding in the most recent report.

Positions as of Tuesday Sep 15, 2026, published Friday Sep 18, 2026, compared with the prior weekly report. Positive net = net long; negative net = net short. COT index is measured over the last 3 years.

CategoryLong (contracts)Short (contracts)Net (contracts)Weekly change (contracts)COT index (0–100, 3y)
Non-commercial (large specs)93,750180,335-86,585+8,24426
Commercial (hedgers)234,782152,79181,991-8,20980
Asset managers50,344103,002-52,658-15,24511
Leveraged funds90,002106,506-16,504+6,76677

Signal log — Asset managers

Every past signal in this market, and what price did afterwards.

Every rolling 8-week window classified as a bullish or bearish divergence, or as convergence where price and positioning agree. Price change is in percent; net change is in contracts.

Each row covers one stretch of weekly reports: the % is the price change over that stretch, the net figure is the change in the group's net position, in contracts.

  • Convergence — healthy downtrendJul 21, 2026Sep 15, 2026price -16.9% · net position -11,119 contracts
  • Bullish divergenceJun 16, 2026Sep 8, 2026price -3.4% · net position -7,106 contracts
  • Convergence — healthy downtrendJun 2, 2026Aug 4, 2026price -30.7% · net position -21,184 contracts
  • Bearish divergenceMay 19, 2026Jul 21, 2026price +11.3% · net position -39,652 contracts
  • Convergence — healthy downtrendMay 5, 2026Jul 7, 2026price -12.6% · net position -28,789 contracts
  • Bearish divergenceApr 28, 2026Jun 23, 2026price +8.4% · net position -18,840 contracts
  • Convergence — healthy downtrendApr 21, 2026Jun 16, 2026price -12.3% · net position -29,109 contracts
  • Bearish divergenceApr 7, 2026Jun 2, 2026price +11.9% · net position -28,086 contracts
  • Convergence — healthy downtrendMar 10, 2026May 26, 2026price -43.7% · net position -9,794 contracts
  • Bullish divergenceFeb 10, 2026Apr 28, 2026price -17.5% · net position +23,844 contracts
  • Convergence — healthy uptrendDec 30, 2025Mar 31, 2026price +64.5% · net position +47,977 contracts
  • Bearish divergenceDec 2, 2025Feb 10, 2026price +33.7% · net position -34,496 contracts

Source: CFTC Commitments of Traders — positions as of Tuesday, published the following Friday. All position figures are futures contracts unless the % of open interest view is selected. Positioning is a sentiment tool, not a timing signal. Not investment advice.