LiveSource · CFTC Commitments of Traders

DJIA x $5 (CBOT)

Dow Jones 30 positioning

Price series: Dow Jones Industrial Average · positions as of Tuesday Sep 15, 2026, published Friday Sep 18, 2026

Last weekly close · Dow Jones Industrial Average
51,778
Asset managers net position (contracts)
7,934
No signalJul 21, 2026Sep 15, 2026 · 8-week window

Neither price nor positioning has moved enough this window to say anything.

Price vs positioning (contracts)

Price on top, and what the big traders were holding underneath it.

Price — Dow Jones Industrial Average
Net position (contracts) — Net position = long contracts minus short contracts. Above the zero line = net long.
Signal classification tracks bullish divergencebearish divergenceconvergence (healthy trend)

COT Index

0–100 · vs last 3 years

How extreme today's positioning is compared with this group's own history.

Each group's current net position, rescaled 0–100 against its own high and low over the selected lookback. 0 = most bearish it has been in that window, 100 = most bullish. Unitless by design, so markets of very different sizes can be compared.

Non-commercial (large specs)85 · stretched long

Near the most bullish this group has been in the window.

Commercial (hedgers)11 · stretched short

Near the most bearish this group has been in the window.

Asset managers58 · neutral

Middle of its own historical range — nothing stretched.

Leveraged funds50 · neutral

Middle of its own historical range — nothing stretched.

0 · most bearish50 · mid-range100 · most bullish

COT Index = ((Current − Min) / (Max − Min)) × 100, over the last 3 years

Method credit: the 0–100 normalization goes back to Larry Williams' COT work in the 1980s and was developed and popularized by Stephen Briese, author of The Commitments of Traders Bible.

Asset managers — COT index history (0–100, rolling 3 years window)

Disagreement Index

contracts · index 0–100
vs

How far apart two trader groups are right now.

Gap = group A's net position minus group B's, measured in contracts. The Disagreement Index rescales that difference 0–100 against its own last 3 years: 0 = the two groups as close together as they get, 100 = as far apart as they get.

Disagreement Index · vs last 3 years
53

Disagreement sits in its normal historical range — nothing stretched.

Current gap (contracts)
-10,371 contracts

Left axis: gap in contracts (positive = Leveraged funds is more net long than Asset managers). Right axis: disagreement index, 0–100. Gap tracks Leveraged fundsAsset managers.

Latest week by category

What each trader group was holding in the most recent report.

Positions as of Tuesday Sep 15, 2026, published Friday Sep 18, 2026, compared with the prior weekly report. Positive net = net long; negative net = net short. COT index is measured over the last 3 years.

CategoryLong (contracts)Short (contracts)Net (contracts)Weekly change (contracts)COT index (0–100, 3y)
Non-commercial (large specs)25,74910,84614,903-1,42385
Commercial (hedgers)58,32777,265-18,938+1,64211
Asset managers16,8148,8807,934-65758
Leveraged funds9,13911,576-2,437+1,82250

Signal log — Asset managers

Every past signal in this market, and what price did afterwards.

Every rolling 8-week window classified as a bullish or bearish divergence, or as convergence where price and positioning agree. Price change is in percent; net change is in contracts.

Each row covers one stretch of weekly reports: the % is the price change over that stretch, the net figure is the change in the group's net position, in contracts.

  • Bearish divergenceJun 23, 2026Aug 18, 2026price +2.7% · net position -4,055 contracts
  • Convergence — healthy uptrendApr 21, 2026Aug 4, 2026price +9.8% · net position +2,881 contracts
  • Bearish divergenceMar 17, 2026Jun 9, 2026price +12.3% · net position -4,628 contracts
  • Convergence — healthy uptrendMar 3, 2026May 5, 2026price +4.4% · net position +4,723 contracts
  • Convergence — healthy downtrendFeb 10, 2026Apr 7, 2026price -3.2% · net position -9,864 contracts
  • Bullish divergenceFeb 3, 2026Mar 31, 2026price -7.2% · net position +1,840 contracts
  • Convergence — healthy downtrendJan 27, 2026Mar 24, 2026price -7.6% · net position -2,974 contracts
  • Bullish divergenceJan 20, 2026Mar 17, 2026price -7.2% · net position +3,578 contracts
  • Convergence — healthy downtrendJan 6, 2026Mar 10, 2026price -6.0% · net position -11,434 contracts
  • Bearish divergenceOct 28, 2025Feb 17, 2026price +4.3% · net position -12,777 contracts
  • Convergence — healthy uptrendAug 26, 2025Dec 9, 2025price +6.4% · net position +7,861 contracts
  • Bearish divergenceAug 5, 2025Sep 30, 2025price +5.8% · net position -1,823 contracts

Source: CFTC Commitments of Traders — positions as of Tuesday, published the following Friday. All position figures are futures contracts unless the % of open interest view is selected. Positioning is a sentiment tool, not a timing signal. Not investment advice.