Bitcoin (CME)
Bitcoin positioning
Price series: BTC / USD spot · positions as of Tuesday Nov 3, 2026, published Friday Nov 6, 2026
This week · published Nov 6, 2026
Bitcoin, week of Nov 3, 2026: Leveraged funds sit at the 100th percentile of their 3-year range — near the most bullish of the past 3 years. They added 1,388 net long contracts on the week. 8-week signal: no signal.
Signal log — Asset managers
Every past signal in this market, and what price did afterwards.
Every rolling 8-week window classified as a bullish or bearish divergence, or as convergence where price and positioning agree. Price change is in percent; net change is in contracts.
Each row covers one stretch of weekly reports: the % is the price change over that stretch, the net figure is the change in the group's net position, in contracts.
- Convergence — healthy downtrendSep 1, 2026 → Oct 27, 2026price -2.6% · net position -944 contracts
- Convergence — healthy uptrendJun 30, 2026 → Oct 13, 2026price +29.1% · net position +1,642 contracts
- Convergence — healthy downtrendApr 7, 2026 → Jul 21, 2026price -7.7% · net position -1,846 contracts
- Bearish divergenceFeb 10, 2026 → Apr 28, 2026price +14.2% · net position -1,079 contracts
- Convergence — healthy downtrendDec 9, 2025 → Mar 31, 2026price -21.8% · net position -2,548 contracts
- Bullish divergenceNov 25, 2025 → Jan 20, 2026price -4.2% · net position +752 contracts
- Convergence — healthy uptrendNov 18, 2025 → Jan 13, 2026price +7.9% · net position +1,101 contracts
- Convergence — healthy downtrendJul 15, 2025 → Dec 23, 2025price -25.1% · net position -2,486 contracts
- Convergence — healthy uptrendMar 18, 2025 → Jul 1, 2025price +26.9% · net position +1,010 contracts
- Convergence — healthy downtrendDec 31, 2024 → Apr 15, 2025price -13.4% · net position -3,029 contracts
- Bearish divergenceDec 24, 2024 → Feb 18, 2025price +2.9% · net position -1,643 contracts
- Convergence — healthy downtrendDec 3, 2024 → Feb 4, 2025price -4.7% · net position -869 contracts
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Source: CFTC Commitments of Traders — positions as of Tuesday, published the following Friday. All position figures are futures contracts unless the % of open interest view is selected. Positioning is a sentiment tool, not a timing signal. Not investment advice.