Gasoline RBOB (NYMEX)
RBOB Gasoline positioning
Price series: RBOB futures (front month) · positions as of Tuesday Sep 15, 2026, published Friday Sep 18, 2026
Price and positioning are rising together: the trend is well supported.
price +3.3% · managed money net position +9,464 (contracts, over 8 weekly reports)
Price vs positioning (contracts)
Price on top, and what the big traders were holding underneath it.
COT Index
0–100 · vs last 3 yearsHow extreme today's positioning is compared with this group's own history.
Each group's current net position, rescaled 0–100 against its own high and low over the selected lookback. 0 = most bearish it has been in that window, 100 = most bullish. Unitless by design, so markets of very different sizes can be compared.
Middle of its own historical range — nothing stretched.
Leaning short, but not yet at an extreme.
Near the most bullish this group has been in the window.
Leaning short, but not yet at an extreme.
Middle of its own historical range — nothing stretched.
COT Index = ((Current − Min) / (Max − Min)) × 100, over the last 3 years
Method credit: the 0–100 normalization goes back to Larry Williams' COT work in the 1980s and was developed and popularized by Stephen Briese, author of The Commitments of Traders Bible.
Disagreement Index
contracts · index 0–100How far apart two trader groups are right now.
Gap = group A's net position minus group B's, measured in contracts. The Disagreement Index rescales that difference 0–100 against its own last 3 years: 0 = the two groups as close together as they get, 100 = as far apart as they get.
The two groups are pulling apart, above their usual range.
Left axis: gap in contracts (positive = Managed money is more net long than Producers / merchants). Right axis: disagreement index, 0–100. Gap tracks Managed money − Producers / merchants.
Latest week by category
What each trader group was holding in the most recent report.
Positions as of Tuesday Sep 15, 2026, published Friday Sep 18, 2026, compared with the prior weekly report. Positive net = net long; negative net = net short. COT index is measured over the last 3 years.
| Category | Long (contracts) | Short (contracts) | Net (contracts) | Weekly change (contracts) | COT index (0–100, 3y) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Non-commercial (large specs) | 104,443 | 41,522 | 62,921 | -10,271 | 57 |
| Commercial (hedgers) | 162,463 | 240,260 | -77,797 | +9,629 | 34 |
| Managed money | 95,916 | 12,745 | 83,171 | -9,677 | 83 |
| Producers / merchants | 97,400 | 188,873 | -91,473 | +10,556 | 30 |
| Swap dealers | 52,131 | 38,455 | 13,676 | -927 | 50 |
Signal log — Managed money
Every past signal in this market, and what price did afterwards.
Every rolling 8-week window classified as a bullish or bearish divergence, or as convergence where price and positioning agree. Price change is in percent; net change is in contracts.
Each row covers one stretch of weekly reports: the % is the price change over that stretch, the net figure is the change in the group's net position, in contracts.
- Convergence — healthy uptrendJul 21, 2026 → Sep 15, 2026price +3.3% · net position +9,464 contracts
- Bullish divergenceJul 14, 2026 → Sep 8, 2026price -2.5% · net position +24,123 contracts
- Convergence — healthy uptrendJun 23, 2026 → Sep 1, 2026price +8.7% · net position +18,120 contracts
- Bullish divergenceJun 9, 2026 → Aug 4, 2026price -2.1% · net position +5,760 contracts
- Convergence — healthy uptrendMay 26, 2026 → Jul 28, 2026price +3.0% · net position +6,815 contracts
- Bullish divergenceMar 31, 2026 → Jul 14, 2026price +3.2% · net position +5,242 contracts
- Bearish divergenceFeb 3, 2026 → May 19, 2026price +76.8% · net position -6,057 contracts
- Convergence — healthy uptrendDec 16, 2025 → Mar 24, 2026price +90.3% · net position +8,313 contracts
- Bearish divergenceDec 2, 2025 → Feb 3, 2026price +6.5% · net position -27,560 contracts
- Convergence — healthy downtrendNov 4, 2025 → Jan 20, 2026price -4.6% · net position -1,164 contracts
- Bullish divergenceOct 14, 2025 → Dec 16, 2025price -7.0% · net position +28,777 contracts
- Convergence — healthy uptrendSep 30, 2025 → Nov 25, 2025price +1.9% · net position +36,088 contracts
Source: CFTC Commitments of Traders — positions as of Tuesday, published the following Friday. All position figures are futures contracts unless the % of open interest view is selected. Positioning is a sentiment tool, not a timing signal. Not investment advice.