Copper #1 (COMEX)
Copper positioning
Price series: Copper futures (front month) · positions as of Tuesday Jul 28, 2026, published Friday Jul 31, 2026
Price is rising while this group reduces exposure — the move is losing committed buyers.
price +2.8% · managed money net position -10,739 (contracts, over 8 weekly reports)
Price vs positioning (contracts)
Price on top, and what the big traders were holding underneath it.
COT Index
0–100 · vs last 3 yearsHow extreme today's positioning is compared with this group's own history.
Each group's current net position, rescaled 0–100 against its own high and low over the selected lookback. 0 = most bearish it has been in that window, 100 = most bullish. Unitless by design, so markets of very different sizes can be compared.
Near the most bullish this group has been in the window.
Near the most bearish this group has been in the window.
Near the most bullish this group has been in the window.
Leaning short, but not yet at an extreme.
Near the most bearish this group has been in the window.
COT Index = ((Current − Min) / (Max − Min)) × 100, over the last 3 years
Gap & Gap Index
contracts · index 0–100How far apart two trader groups are right now.
Gap = group A's net position minus group B's, measured in contracts. The Gap Index rescales that difference 0–100 against its own last 3 years: 0 = the two groups as close together as they get, 100 = as far apart as they get.
The two groups are pulling apart, above their usual range.
Left axis: gap in contracts (positive = Managed money is more net long than Producers / merchants). Right axis: gap index, 0–100. Gap tracks Managed money − Producers / merchants.
Latest week by category
What each trader group was holding in the most recent report.
Positions as of Tuesday Jul 28, 2026, published Friday Jul 31, 2026, compared with the prior weekly report. Positive net = net long; negative net = net short. COT index is measured over the last 3 years.
| Category | Long (contracts) | Short (contracts) | Net (contracts) | Weekly change (contracts) | COT index (0–100, 3y) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Non-commercial (large specs) | 103,023 | 35,742 | 67,281 | -6,696 | 90 |
| Commercial (hedgers) | 87,762 | 163,923 | -76,161 | +5,951 | 10 |
| Managed money | 82,988 | 17,980 | 65,008 | -6,507 | 91 |
| Producers / merchants | 25,941 | 111,220 | -85,279 | +5,929 | 27 |
| Swap dealers | 53,154 | 44,036 | 9,118 | +22 | 11 |
Signal log — Managed money
Every past signal in this market, and what price did afterwards.
Every rolling 8-week window classified as a bullish or bearish divergence, or as convergence where price and positioning agree. Price change is in percent; net change is in contracts.
Each row covers one stretch of weekly reports: the % is the price change over that stretch, the net figure is the change in the group's net position, in contracts.
- Bearish divergenceJun 2, 2026 → Jul 28, 2026price +2.8% · net position -10,739 contracts
- Convergence — healthy downtrendMay 19, 2026 → Jul 14, 2026price -1.9% · net position -14,003 contracts
- Convergence — healthy uptrendMar 3, 2026 → Jun 23, 2026price +6.7% · net position +18,053 contracts
- Convergence — healthy downtrendJan 6, 2026 → Mar 31, 2026price -5.0% · net position -29,070 contracts
- Bearish divergenceDec 2, 2025 → Feb 24, 2026price +11.6% · net position -12,432 contracts
- Convergence — healthy uptrendJul 29, 2025 → Jan 20, 2026price +34.0% · net position +26,146 contracts
- Convergence — healthy downtrendJun 10, 2025 → Aug 5, 2025price -7.2% · net position -7,363 contracts
- Bullish divergenceJun 3, 2025 → Jul 29, 2025price -8.6% · net position +13,495 contracts
- Convergence — healthy uptrendApr 8, 2025 → Jul 22, 2025price +27.9% · net position +25,113 contracts
- Bearish divergenceApr 1, 2025 → May 27, 2025price +6.1% · net position -13,595 contracts
- Convergence — healthy downtrendMar 25, 2025 → May 20, 2025price -6.0% · net position -15,814 contracts
- Bullish divergenceMar 11, 2025 → May 6, 2025price -5.3% · net position +7,869 contracts
Source: CFTC Commitments of Traders — positions as of Tuesday, published the following Friday. All position figures are futures contracts unless the % of open interest view is selected. Positioning is a sentiment tool, not a timing signal. Not investment advice.